【文澜公共经济青年学者论坛(第66期)】王晓含:Renegotiation After Sovereign Default: Bygones No Longer

发布者:程明梅发布时间:2019-12-16浏览次数:10

演讲嘉宾:王晓含

报告题目:Renegotiation After Sovereign Default: Bygones No Longer

时    间:20191218日(周三)上午9:00-10:15

地    点:文泉北楼603会议室

主办单位:财政税务学院

承办单位:财政税务学院研究生会


嘉宾简介:王晓含,石溪大学博士。主要从事宏观经济学、国际金融学和财政学领域的研究。攻读读博士学位期间,一直获得石溪大学研究基金资助从事相关研究

内容提要:In the aftermath of a sovereign default, debt recovery is determined through a restructuring process. This recovery is important for both the country and the creditors. For the country, debt recovery determines its debt burden after exiting default and impacts macroeconomic performance. For the creditors, recovery reduces their losses. Using the dataset of Cruces and Trebesch (2013), I show that the level of recovery is positively related with the level of defaulted debt. In light of this finding, I build a framework that rationalizes this strong association by employing the Kalai-Smorodinsky bargaining solution in a model of sovereign debt renegotiation, while jointly matching standard emerging markets’ behavior. I identify the key assumptions that enable the model to match the data. I also show that the model using a standard Nash bargaining protocol results in debt recovery being unrelated to the outstanding level of debt.